Posts Tagged ‘YUM’

Yum Brands LEAPS trading Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM) is looking to shed two of its less-iconic brands (Long John Silver’s and A&W) but a long-term investor seems to be adding to his or her own bearish position by scooping up LEAP ratio put spreads. The January 2013 40 and 45 puts were active on Monday and it was the second time since late January we have noticed unusually large volume at these strikes.

Yesterday, as the stock was moving modestly higher to an eventual close of $50.30, an investor apparently sold 3,600 of the January 2013 40 puts, as they traded on the bid price of $3.00 apiece.  At the same time, a block of 2,000 of the January 45 puts traded on the ask price of $5.00 each, suggesting they were initiated on the buy side.  This spread likely traded with stock, but probably only to aid in its execution.

What is especially interesting about this trade is not even the long-term nature of the play or the 1.8 ratio at which it traded, but the fact that the same strikes saw similar action on January 27.  On this day, it looks as though 8,000 of the 40 puts sold for $3.70 each while 5,000 of the 45 puts were bought for $5.90 each.  If it is the same investor, they may just be adding to this position with a similar trade fewer than three weeks later. (more…)

Option Traders Active in Yum! Brands (YUM)

Tuesday, December 7th, 2010

Yum! Brands Option Activity Either someone’s a huge fan of Meximelts and Personal Pan Pizzas or they simply expect some intermediate-term upside in the shares of Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM). On Monday, an options investor was active in this name, trading a bullish risk reversal (also known as a synthetic long stock). This options strategy is an alternative to buying the stock outright; it has a similar risk/reward profile but requires less capital up front to put on the trade.

Shortly before noon, blocks of 7,000 contracts traded on the April 55 call and the April 45 put. The calls traded for 95 cents apiece (the ask price at the time) while the puts traded for $1.27, which was the bid price. This suggests the puts were opened on the sell side while the calls were bought to open.  With the stock trading near $50, both options were out-of-the-money by roughly the same amount. (more…)

Earnings Season Survival Guide

Monday, July 12th, 2010
Buy, sell, hold?

Buy, sell, hold?

The days of reckoning are upon us!  So earnings season officially kicks off today with Alcoa’s (NYSE:AA) report.  CSX Corporation (NYSE:CSX) and Novellus Systems (NASDAQ:NVLS) are on today’s schedule as well.  As I write this at 6:00 a.m. Monday morning, futures in the S&P, DJX and Nasdaq are lower after a week’s worth of gains.

I wanted to take a couple of quick minutes today to highlight some things to remember and consider during earnings season as you make your decisions to buy, sell or hold.  These things are also important to remember if you plan on employing an options strategy.  Some high-profile companies that are scheduled to report this week are:

  • INTC, YUM and FAST on Tuesday
  • MAR on Wednesday
  • AMD, JPM and GOOG on Thursday
  • BAC, GCI, C and GE on Friday

There are many others reporting; the above issues are simply some of the more heavily followed.  If you are wondering when a company of interest reports earnings, check out the OptionsHouse Research tab to locate the next earnings date under the “Events Calendar.”  If none is posted, go to the company’s website, as some corporations may announce changes close to its report date or wait to disclose their exact earnings date.

Now that you know the relevant earnings date for your stocks, here are some factors to examine when deciding how to proceed:

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Image of a "dead end" sign in front of a combination KFG, Taco Bell and Pizza Hut signYum! Brands (NYSE: YUM), the parent company of KFC, A&W restaurants, Pizza Hut, Long John Silver’s and Taco Bell reported strong earnings last night. The fast food conglomerate reported earnings-per-share growth of 23%. Worldwide profits leaped 13% with 37% growth coming from China. The stock responded positively, rallying to $43.18, up 3.6% on the day. Even though this may seem like a reason to buy the stock for the long term, for some traders it’s actually a signal to do just the opposite.

There are many ways people trade stocks, driven by varying logic, risk tolerance levels, personalities and time horizons. While Yum looks strong, some traders may be using this rally to take profits, in fact, in the options pits today, we saw quite a bit of action, much of it bearish.

If you look deeper into the report, YUM noted that same-store sales actually declined 1% including an increase of 5% at Pizza Hut and declines of 2% at Taco Bell and 4% at KFC. (more…)

The S&P 500 started trading last Friday at the same level at which it closed on Monday of the same week. The Dow and NASDAQ were also flat on the week.

Even though Alcoa (AA) officially kicks off earnings season today, there were some earnings reports last week that began to pepper in a little excitement for some investors. For instance, Monsanto (MON) disappointed many investors with reports of lackluster earnings of only $1.70 per share. Reports indicated the agriculture giant missed sales and revenue forecasts and experienced marked weakness in their Roundup brand and other glyphosate herbicide products.

They did perform well in their seed division, but missed on overall revenue expectations and confirmed EPS guidance at the low end of its previously guided range of $3.10 to $3.30. MON also retracted its long-standing goal of doubling 2007 gross profit by 2012.

Surprisingly, with all this negativity, the stock actually moved higher after the report.

How and why does this happen?

One would think if the company is not making as much as analysts expected, the stock should be selling off, right? Not always. Remember, everyone has unique expectations of a stock’s earnings performance. (more…)

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