Posts Tagged ‘T’

AT&T phoneDeutsche Bank upgraded AT&T (NYSE:T) Monday morning to a “buy” rating from “hold” and lifted its 12-month price target by $1 to $31, essentially calling for about 20% of upside over the next year.  The firm argued that Ma Bell should be able to sustain double-digit core earnings growth into next year.  Potential near-term catalysts for continued growth include a buyback and a dividend increase.  Additionally, the firm thinks concerns about the potential loss of the iPhone exclusivity contract may be overblown (or already priced into the shares).

Technically speaking, T shares have been range-bound for the past year or so, with little movement below 23 or above 26.  Last Thursday, the stock gapped higher, however, thanks to a positive earnings surprise.  Upward momentum continued through Friday and Monday, and the shares have now moved back above their 200-day simple moving average for the first time since April.

For investors interested in adding options to their portfolio, we’ve outlined two strategies below – one for those who agree with Deutsche Bank’s positive outlook and one for AT&T bears.  These strategies are examples and do not constitute buy/sell/hold recommendations.  Prices are given as of Monday late afternoon, when T was trading at $25.95, up 41 cents.

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So after the market closed yesterday, I took a ride down the street to my dentist’s office for my every-six-months hour of fun and excitement with the hygienist.  On my way home, I decided to take a different route that took me right past the Highland Park Apple Store, about a block away from my home.  I had heard a rumor about a guy who had been camping out since last Friday for the new iPhone 4 and I had to check this out.  Sure enough, with tent, Bunsen burner, lawn chairs, and an endless supply of water (it’s 103 degrees today, with not a cloud in sight), I saw him.

The guy I saw (who prefers to remain anonymous) is a local celebrity and maybe a bit crazy for waiting in the 100+ degree endless summer solstice sun.   According to him, he has been the first in line for the all of the iPhone releases at this store.

He was greeted with some honking by passing Dallas-ites during the three minutes I was there, but many just think he is crazy, according to local blogs and articles.   I would call him determined and passionate to say the least. I mean, you can’t get a iPhone 4 right now, so maybe he’s not so nuts. They did pre-sell 600,000 in one day.

But this story isn’t about this Apple fan or his compatriots braving ridiculous weather conditions alone to get the iPhone 4, it’s about the slew of 3Gs and 3GSs that will be hitting the secondary market, namely by way of places like eBay, craigslist and Gazelle.com, who has received a record number of iPhone trades.   By my estimates, there are more than 49 million 3Gs and 3GSs in the hands of folks around the world.  When Apple rolled out the 3GS, a large amount of legacy owners upgraded their phones, and that change was largely to do with speed rather than the phone itself. (more…)

This week holds four potentially exciting catalysts; each with the potential to dominate business media headlines.  Is it any wonder that the VIX has spiked back above 25%?

  1. Wednesday night President Obama will deliver his State of the Union address
    Will Health Care remain in focus following the Massachusetts run-off election results?
    Will new Bank regulations and taxes receive a major emphasis?
    Any new initiatives on job creation stimulus?
  2. FED Chairman Ben Bernanke Confirmation vote expected before his term expires on January 31st
    This result will likely be known before it actually comes to a vote. I believe the market may not react well to any uncertainty of a non-confirmation vote
  3. FOMC meeting January 27
    What type of meeting would it be if the pre-confirmation tally turns further against Ben?
    Expectations are for no change to the Fed Funds targets but that decision has not been unanimous lately so the statement may change tone
  4. Earnings season is in full swing
    Apple earnings tonight and Tablet launch on Wednesday
    136 companies in the S&P 500 report including MSFT, JNJ, PG, CVX, T, AMZN and COP
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