Posts Tagged ‘dell’

3PAR (NYSE:PAR) bidding war I ended my blog on the 3PAR (NYSE:PAR) situation earlier this week with the following paragraph:

What will happen next?  Michael Dell may reach deeper into his corporate pockets and up the bid once more.  Or if Dell walks away, the shares will likely fall quickly back to the 24 dollars that Hewlett is bidding.   In either case the trading in the stock and options will remain a special situation for the near term.

This is an old-school bidding war!  After Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ) bid $24 per share, Dell Inc. (NYSE:DELL) responded by bidding 30 cents higher with a $24.30-per-share bid, which was quickly accepted by the PAR board of directors.

Hewlett wasn’t going away, however, and they bid $27 per share. Dell matched that increased bid and again the 3PAR board accepted Dell’s bid.  Hewlett quickly bid $30 dollars a share Friday and the stock is now trading above 32 dollars per share!  Let’s look at an updated stock chart.  Friday’s price was more than three times what the shares were going for two weeks ago! (more…)

3PAR is the Prettiest Girl at the Party!

Monday, August 23rd, 2010

3Par (PAR) is the belle of the ball 3PAR Inc. (NYSE:PAR) is evidently the belle of the ball.  A week ago Monday (August 16), Dell Inc. (NASDAQ:DELL) announced a friendly takeover bid of $18 per share to buy the company.  This bid represented roughly an 85% premium to the trading price of the company.  On Friday August 13, PAR had closed at $9.65.

As is typical, the share price quickly rallied to the bid price, gapping higher out of the gate on Monday. Due to the nature of the cash bid, the longer-dated options with strike prices higher than the bid price lost their premium values.

But this wasn’t the end of the PAR saga!  Over this weekend, Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) bid $24 per share, 33% higher than DELL’s existing bid!  This bid is deemed as friendly as well.  This bidding war has the stock now trading at $25.42, which is above even HPQ’s enhanced bid. (more…)

Long Straddles Predict Volatility Before weekly options expanded to include weeklys on individual equities, it was rare for options expiration and corporate earnings reports to fall during the same week.  One week, at-the-money (ATM) options have very little time value, obviously, large gamma, and negative theta.  With such little time to go to expiration, the options market can provide a clear signal as to what it is predicting for the magnitude of stock returns around earnings events.  This week of August expiration also includes earnings concentrated in the tech and retail sectors.

In the technology space, Network Appliance (NASDAQ:NTAP), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ), and Dell Computer (NASDAQ:DELL) all report throughout the week.

Retailers TJX Cos. (NYSE:TJX), Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF), Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE:WMT), and Home Depot (NYSE:HD) are all on Tuesday, with Target (NYSE:TGT) and Sears Holdings (NASDAQ:SHLD) following later in the week.

It is relatively clean to be able to look at the ATM long straddles (the simultaneous purchase of the same-strike call and put) and predict what degree of movement is expected.  Remember the straddle doesn’t predict direction, only degree of the anticipated move.

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A Mixed Message for Dell (NASDAQ:DELL) Shares The technology sector was under the microscope Friday following mixed reports from Research in Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM) and Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ:ORCL).  While many investors focused, respectively, on selling and buying these names, Stifel Nicolaus turned its attention to a historically newsworthy tech stock, Dell (NASDAQ: DELL).  The firm reiterated its “buy” rating on the shares but lowered its 12-month price target by 11% from $18 to $16. This represents projected upside of less than 25%.

Earlier in the week, on the eve of its annual analyst day, Dell issued its first official guidance in four years, saying it expects fiscal year 2011 revenue to increase 14% to 19% over this year’s levels.  The computer company also said operating income should rise by 18% to 23% throughout the current year.  The shares dropped 6.4% in Thursday’s session on the heels of this announcement and were virtually flat in Friday’s trading.  DELL has drifted lower since late April (along with the tech sector and the broader market) and remains below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA).  At $14.70 and $14.68, respectively, these trendlines are in danger of a bearish cross.

Stifel still believes DELL is worthy of a “buy” rating but appears the bullishness has limits, judging from its adjusted price target.  The “buy,” “hold,” and “sell” scale is somewhat limiting, but options traders have access to a full arsenal of strategies they can use depending on their outlook and other factors.  Two option strategies on DELL – one bullish, one bearish – are detailed below.  Remember these are hypothetical examples, not recommendations.  Consider your risk/reward parameters and trading goals before executing any new trades. (more…)

Tech Acquisitions in the Air

Monday, September 21st, 2009
Photo by scazon/Sam

Photo by scazon/Sam

Over the last week, we have seen developments on the merger front that are interesting both from an individual standpoint and as a commentary on the view of companies as a whole.  Last week, Adobe (ADBE) bid $21.5 per share for Omniture (OMTR), and today Dell (DELL) announced an acquisition of Perot Systems (PER) for $30 per share.  Both of these bids were in cash.

From a market standpoint, it is a good sign that companies are out there making acquisitions again.  It shows they are getting more confident about their prospects going forward.  Also, the fact that these transactions were done in cash shows confidence by both Adobe and Dell in their share valuation.  If they had poor expectations going forward, they probably would have thought more about paying with stock.

Of course, waiting until your outlook brightens has a cost.  Omniture is trading below $10 this year, so Adobe waited until it almost doubled in price to put in a bid.  Perot Systems traded below $11 in March, so now Dell is paying almost triple that.  If the acquirers would have made these bids in the first quarter, it seems like they could have gotten them for less money.  In their defense, this is not an easy call to make.

In terms of company-specific points on these deals, I think the Dell acquisition really should be noted.  The whole goal of Dell was to be the most efficient box maker for many years.  However, this has become a much harder position for it to maintain.  It has been hurt on one side from Apple, who has gained market share with its combination of slick hardware, multi media winners, and solid operating systems.

Dell also faces tough competition in the corporate market from Hewlett-Packard, which has integrated its Compaq acquisition from years ago, and has a large consulting wing to go along with its hardware.  Buying Perot appears to be somewhat of an admission by Dell that just making cheap boxes with the lowest cost basis in the industry may not be a winning strategy.

As far as the Adobe/Omniture linkage, I think most people probably have never heard of Omniture.  However, they are in an area of huge importance to online firms.  They help track information for websites on their customers’ behavior, and on the performance of the money these companies spend for online ads.

With greater percentages of advertising budgets going online, these companies need to ensure they are spending this money wisely.  Omniture has a product that does this in great detail.  In my opinion, Adobe is smart to stake out its position in this space because it should continue to grow in importance down the road.  But this is an expensive acquisition for ADBE from a financial perspective.  Omniture actually lost money in the second quarter and booked only about $87 million in revenue.  It is a way, however, for Adobe to refill its pipeline of products (much like a large drug company buying a biotech firm).

One other note — Omniture has settled above the $21.5 bid price from Adobe.  This means there are people who think Adobe will raise its bid, or that another player will come forward and make a higher bid for the company.

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