Posts Tagged ‘AMD’

Earnings Season Survival Guide

Monday, July 12th, 2010
Buy, sell, hold?

Buy, sell, hold?

The days of reckoning are upon us!  So earnings season officially kicks off today with Alcoa’s (NYSE:AA) report.  CSX Corporation (NYSE:CSX) and Novellus Systems (NASDAQ:NVLS) are on today’s schedule as well.  As I write this at 6:00 a.m. Monday morning, futures in the S&P, DJX and Nasdaq are lower after a week’s worth of gains.

I wanted to take a couple of quick minutes today to highlight some things to remember and consider during earnings season as you make your decisions to buy, sell or hold.  These things are also important to remember if you plan on employing an options strategy.  Some high-profile companies that are scheduled to report this week are:

  • INTC, YUM and FAST on Tuesday
  • MAR on Wednesday
  • AMD, JPM and GOOG on Thursday
  • BAC, GCI, C and GE on Friday

There are many others reporting; the above issues are simply some of the more heavily followed.  If you are wondering when a company of interest reports earnings, check out the OptionsHouse Research tab to locate the next earnings date under the “Events Calendar.”  If none is posted, go to the company’s website, as some corporations may announce changes close to its report date or wait to disclose their exact earnings date.

Now that you know the relevant earnings date for your stocks, here are some factors to examine when deciding how to proceed:

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The S&P 500 started trading last Friday at the same level at which it closed on Monday of the same week. The Dow and NASDAQ were also flat on the week.

Even though Alcoa (AA) officially kicks off earnings season today, there were some earnings reports last week that began to pepper in a little excitement for some investors. For instance, Monsanto (MON) disappointed many investors with reports of lackluster earnings of only $1.70 per share. Reports indicated the agriculture giant missed sales and revenue forecasts and experienced marked weakness in their Roundup brand and other glyphosate herbicide products.

They did perform well in their seed division, but missed on overall revenue expectations and confirmed EPS guidance at the low end of its previously guided range of $3.10 to $3.30. MON also retracted its long-standing goal of doubling 2007 gross profit by 2012.

Surprisingly, with all this negativity, the stock actually moved higher after the report.

How and why does this happen?

One would think if the company is not making as much as analysts expected, the stock should be selling off, right? Not always. Remember, everyone has unique expectations of a stock’s earnings performance. (more…)

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