Posts Tagged ‘AIG’

Jim Cramer took a bearish stance in American International Group (NYSE: AIG), last Thursday on CNBC’s Mad Money, calling the stock a “sell – sell –sell!” Cramer said he thinks the company owes too much money to the government and should have never enacted a reverse split. Over the weekend, however, Barron’s spoke with fund manager Bruce Berkowitz, who said he likes AIG and other big financials, as they are potentially undervalued. AIG closed at $34.21 on Friday and rose modestly in Monday’s trading.

AIG is certainly a controversial play, and now we’ve recently heard vocal pundits in both the bullish and bearish camp. As I’ve mentioned before, AIG, with all of its very public challenges, is extremely hard to borrow. Because so many investors are trying to short AIG these days, the cost of borrowing the shares is more than 20% per year. For this reason, bears might consider options as one alternative to taking a short position in the stock. Options can also be a reasonable choice for bullish investors, as they can put less capital at risk (among other potential advantages).

Below are just two examples of ways stock traders might consider using options to trade AIG in lieu of buying (or attempting to sell) the stock outright. These are not buy-sell-hold recommendations, just a look at two potential bullish and bearish strategies.

*Option prices given as of Monday afternoon (more…)

More relative low volatility today, but the major indices are beginning to show some weakness and slowly move lower. The VIX and VXN are both moving higher, even with the lack of a dramatic move. This may indicate a rise in the average implied volatility of the S&P and NASDAQ.

Options trading remains busy today overall and we have seen some put buying in Allstate (ALL), this could be a trader speculating on a downturn in the stock, or it could also be a trader buying puts against long stock, which can be a protective move while the put is owned in the event of a retracement.

Remember, puts give you the right to SELL a stock. If you already own the stock when you buy the put, you are basically locking in a sale price, for this you will have to pay some premium. In ALL, the trader paid about $1.50 for the October 29 puts. The risk to buying options is 100% of the premium paid.

There is a fair amount of options action in Research in Motion (RIMM), up another 2% from yesterday, as well as in several other symbols across a variety of industry sectors.

Remember there are a couple hours left in the trading day and the volume of these issues may continue to rise, but this is where we are seeing some heavy options activity today. Another important consideration is that options can be bought or sold, and volume does not indicate which:

TRA: $46.78 down $0.1696 or 0.36% volume: 1.43 million shares
Mar10 45.00 Puts: volume over 17056, versus Open Interest of 36225
Mar10 46.00 Puts: volume over 16230, versus Open Interest of 2665

AMLN: $20.24 down $0.6600 or 3.16% volume: 5.37 million shares
Mar10 15.00 Puts: volume over 16994, versus Open Interest of 20215
Mar10 25.00 Calls: volume over 15202, versus Open Interest of 11947

RIMM: $76.68 up $1.6350 or 2.18% volume: 7.73 million shares
Mar10 75.00 Calls: volume over 15899, versus Open Interest of 38654

UNG: $8.07 down $0.2601 or 3.12% volume: 14.67 million shares
Apr10 9.00 Calls: volume over 15435, versus Open Interest of 76668
Apr10 8.00 Puts: volume over 11143, versus Open Interest of 56037

GME: $19.39 up $1.1100 or 6.07% volume: 7.88 million shares
Mar10 20.00 Calls: volume over 14926, versus Open Interest of 7928

SLM: $12.36 up $0.1700 or 1.39% volume: 2.72 million shares
Apr10 9.00 Puts: volume over 12422, versus Open Interest of 11011

AES: $11.47 up $0.2100 or 1.87% volume: 3.85 million shares
Apr10 12.50 Calls: volume over 11746, versus Open Interest of 692

Q: $4.80 up $0.0300 or 0.63% volume: 5.55 million shares
Jan11 5.00 Calls: volume over 11734, versus Open Interest of 22167

AAPL: $224.61 down $0.2300 or 0.10% volume: 6.54 million shares
Mar10 230.00 Calls: volume over 11568, versus Open Interest of 26982

AIG: $37.03 up $0.7899 or 2.18% volume: 25.11 million shares
Mar10 40.00 Calls: volume over 10656, versus Open Interest of 17346

YHOO: $16.48 down $0.3150 or 1.88% volume: 11.08 million shares
Jan11 17.50 Calls: volume over 10568, versus Open Interest of 56860

XLK: $22.68 down $0.0000 or 0.00% volume: 1.68 million shares
Jan11 24.00 Calls: volume over 10005, versus Open Interest of 32551

GE: $16.38 down $0.1295 or 0.78% volume: 22.25 million shares
Mar10 17.50 Calls: volume over 10000, versus Open Interest of 150802

These are my team’s observations. If you’re seeing something we’re not, or if you have any questions about what I’ve outlined above, please feel free to add your voice in the comments.

Photo Credit: mag3737

The NASDAQ , S&P 500 and Dow Jones are all struggling to maintain the anemic rally that has ensued for the past 1.5 weeks. Volume continues to dissipate in most major indices, SPY’s 14 day volume simple moving average has been on a downtrend since early-mid February.

Today’s options action has been focused, but not limited to, the financials, namely Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), American International Group (AIG) and Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF).

There is bullish call buying and put selling in BAC as well as call buyers in C, ahead of their 2 billion dollar trust preferred stock offering. AIG stock is extremely hard to borrow, and, on today’s rally, is generating heavy options activity. Traders who have a rough time shorting stock may consider using options to synthetically short the stock, if they desire to do so, although this comes at a price sometimes, as puts will likely be elevated in price.

Remember, there are a couple hours left in the trading day and the volume of these issues may continue to rise, but this is where we have already observed some heavy options activity today:

MSFT: $28.95 up $0.1500 or 0.52% volume: 23.66 million shares
Jan11 35.00 Calls: volume over 38989, versus Open Interest of 77689
Apr10 29.00 Calls: volume over 13802, versus Open Interest of 95028

BAC: $17.21 up $0.4100 or 2.44% volume: 140.84 million shares
Mar10 17.00 Calls: volume over 38690, versus Open Interest of 169867
Mar10 16.00 Puts: volume over 32104, versus Open Interest of 163423

AIG: $35.46 up $2.6900 or 8.21% volume: 50.12 million shares
Mar10 40.00 Calls: volume over 27321, versus Open Interest of 15988
Mar10 45.00 Calls: volume over 21344, versus Open Interest of 5680

ZION: $20.33 up $1.0700 or 5.56% volume: 8.87 million shares
Apr10 17.00 Puts: volume over 25418, versus Open Interest of 26352
Apr10 19.00 Puts: volume over 10974, versus Open Interest of 4794

AAPL: $224.70 up $1.6800 or 0.75% volume: 10.73 million shares,
Mar10 230.00 Calls: volume over 19595, versus Open Interest of 26386
Mar10 220.00 Puts: volume over 19346, versus Open Interest of 13756

XOM: $67.00 up $0.2150 or 0.32% volume: 13.80 million shares
Apr10 70.00 Calls: volume over 19572, versus Open Interest of 56065

MS: $29.76 up $0.7100 or 2.44% volume: 16.57 million shares
Mar10 30.00 Calls: volume over 17770, versus Open Interest of 28538

RIMM: $74.96 up $1.4100 or 1.92% volume: 9.04 million shares
Mar10 75.00 Calls: volume over 16323, versus Open Interest of 45709

GE: $16.50 up $0.0050 or 0.03% volume: 40.43 million shares
Mar10 17.50 Calls: volume over 15494, versus Open Interest of 148738

STI: $26.51 up $0.6800 or 2.63% volume: 8.30 million shares
Apr10 22.00 Puts: volume over 15360, versus Open Interest of 16713

These are my team’s observations. If you have observations to share, please add your voice in the comments.

Yesterday, the OptionsHouse Hotlist picked up huge action in the American International Group (AIG $26.92 +3.78). This stock rocketed more than 16% after the company stated it is in talks to sell assets; possibly to pay back a portion of its debt to the government. This initially sent shares only slightly higher. However, the buying intensified throughout the session, and looks to me like a classic short squeeze.

Today, traders grabbed 85K calls of the 136K contracts traded, which is 6 times the daily average in this stock! The implied volatility in here spiked higher with the gain in the shares as well. 9,000 of the February 30 calls were traded, equaling the open interest in this line. This activity may indicate further immediate upside in the share price is expected among traders.
The risk to a long call is 100% of the premium paid, while the reward is theoretically unlimited beyond strike.

AIG deserves a spot on most traders’ watch lists the next several days!

Since AIG does not announce earnings this week, it appears that the one week options have come in considerably decayed.  The October 37 strike puts have traded over 11,000 contracts today – the majority at a price of 10 cents. One dime!

Granted they are 7 dollars out of the money but are you telling me that AIG cannot move 15% in one week?  It appears that because of this sale, the downside puts all are likely trading at a much lower volatility than they did last week. These option sellers may have short memories, but this stock was trading at under 20 dollars just 3 months ago.

Remember: there are always rewards and risks present when trading options.  The risk to owning a one week option is 100% loss of premium paid, but the potential reward to owning a put is being able to limit the downside risk to a long stock position. The latter allows the holder to sell stock at strike if the shares should fall.

If you are short puts or long stock in AIG and are possibly nervous about the financial sector earnings announcements that begin this week, then from a risk management standpoint, you may consider hedging your position.

Photo by eflon

AIG is Smoking Hot

Thursday, August 20th, 2009

AIG American International Group is already up 26% with the news that the company expects to repay money issued during the recent government bailout.  This news seems to be generating a positive impact on the market as a whole as well with a spike in overall activity. AIG CEO Robert Benmosche was quoted earlier today in a Bloomberg Television interview stating,

“We believe we will be able to pay back the government and we hope we will be able to do something for our shareholders as well.”

The effect of this news on options action has been phenomenal! More than 300 thousand contracts have traded, with huge volume going through on the calls and puts. This likely reflects mixed opinions amongst investors as to the future value of the equity here: Long options limit the risk to the premiums paid while given exposure to price moves up and down. The potential risks to owning options is the loss of 100% of the premium paid and AIG options are currently trading with implied volatilities approaching 200%!

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